Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
December 31
$19K volume
60.0%
—
April 30
$36K volume
11.5%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)Updated 12m ago
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Live prediction market odds for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?". December 31 is leading at 60.0%. The next most likely outcome is April 30 at 11.5%. Total volume is $180K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
December 31
60.0%
Total Vol
$180K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?". December 31 is leading at 60.0%. The next most likely outcome is April 30 at 11.5%. Total volume is $180K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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