Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Aug 1, 2026
$22K volume
54.0%
—
Before Jul 1, 2026
$20K volume
44.0%
—
Before Jun 1, 2026
$33K volume
35.0%
—
Before May 1, 2026
$52K volume
15.0%
—
Live marketEnds Aug 1, 2026 (3mo)Updated 11m ago
Tulsi Gabbard out as director of national intelligence?
Live prediction market odds for "Tulsi Gabbard out as director of national intelligence?". Before Aug 1, 2026 is leading at 54.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jul 1, 2026 at 44.0%. Total volume is $144K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 1, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before Aug 1, 2026
54.0%
Total Vol
$144K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Tulsi Gabbard out as director of national intelligence?". Before Aug 1, 2026 is leading at 54.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jul 1, 2026 at 44.0%. Total volume is $144K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Aug 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
56h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
56h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Trump weighs broader Cabinet shake-up as Iran war pressure grows - The Garden Island Newspaper
The Garden Island Newspaper·16h ago·neutral
How Good is Our Intelligence on Iran? - Just Security
Just Security·1d ago·neutral
Trump Contemplates Other Cabinet Changes as He Faces Political Clock - nytimes.com
nytimes.com·2d ago·neutral
Trump weighs more Cabinet changes, but wants to avoid ‘massive shake-up’ - The Washington Post
The Washington Post·2d ago·neutral
Trump Stands by Embattled Tulsi Gabbard Amid Smear Campaign - National Today
National Today·2d ago·neutral
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