Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Casey Shepard
$6K volume
92.0%
—
Milah Flores
$3K volume
2.0%
—
James Gordon Mitchell
$406 volume
1.0%
—
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2027 (1y 211d)Updated 11m ago
TX-17 Democratic nominee?
Live prediction market odds for "TX-17 Democratic nominee?". Casey Shepard is leading at 92.0%. The next most likely outcome is Milah Flores at 2.0%. Total volume is $10K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Casey Shepard
92.0%
Total Vol
$10K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "TX-17 Democratic nominee?". Casey Shepard is leading at 92.0%. The next most likely outcome is Milah Flores at 2.0%. Total volume is $10K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
795h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
795h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
See who won, who faces a runoff in the Texas Democratic primary races
Bing News·16d ago·neutral
Cornyn, Paxton locked in for runoff ballot after deadline - The Texas Tribune
The Texas Tribune·19d ago·neutral
Democratic nominee for Texas Agriculture Commissioner Clayton Tucker on food, land and water in the - CBS News
CBS News·23d ago·neutral
What to know about Republican nominee Brandon Herrera's bid for Congress - San Antonio Express-News
San Antonio Express-News·30d ago·neutral
RESULTS | 2026 Texas Primaries: GOP races for AG, Senate heading to runoff - FOX 7 Austin
FOX 7 Austin·32d ago·neutral
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