Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
June 30
$1K volume
68.5%
—
Live marketEnds Feb 28, 2026 (Ended)Updated 13m ago
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
Live prediction market odds for "UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?". June 30 is leading at 68.5%. Total volume is $108K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 28, 2026.
Leading Outcome
June 30
68.5%
Total Vol
$108K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?". June 30 is leading at 68.5%. Total volume is $108K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 28, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Feb 28, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
30%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 6 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
1
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1201h
Sources
1
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1201h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss
Latest News
'I was naive', says minister who quit over Labour Together claims
Bing News·9d ago·neutral
Cabinet Office minister Josh Simons resigns over Labour Together ‘distraction’
Bing News·37d ago·neutral
Epstein controversy weighs on UK prime minister's 'fragile' future
Bing News·43d ago·neutral
Lawmakers rally in support of British PM Starmer as calls to resign ease
Bing News·56d ago·neutral
UK premier’s chief of staff resigns amid outrage surrounding ambassador
Bing News·57d ago·neutral
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