Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Jeffrey Kessler
$19K volume
73.5%
—
Zachary Shrewsbury
$12K volume
15.5%
—
Rachel Anderson
$2K volume
4.5%
—
Rio Phillips
$4K volume
2.3%
—
Thornton Cooper
$4K volume
2.1%
—
Live marketEnds May 12, 2026 (1mo)Updated 11m ago
West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Live prediction market odds for "West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Jeffrey Kessler is leading at 73.5%. The next most likely outcome is Zachary Shrewsbury at 15.5%. Total volume is $41K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 12, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Jeffrey Kessler
73.5%
Total Vol
$41K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Jeffrey Kessler is leading at 73.5%. The next most likely outcome is Zachary Shrewsbury at 15.5%. Total volume is $41K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 12, 2026.
Expected resolution date: May 12, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1142h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1142h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Election cycle continues
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
National Primary Elections 2026: Live Results and Map - NBC News
NBC News·5d ago·neutral
2026 Primary Election Calendar: What Races Are Today? - NBC News
NBC News·5d ago·neutral
Former West Virginia state senator wins Democratic House primary in North Carolina - WVVA
WVVA·32d ago·bullish
Here's who won all 2026 primary races on Cumberland County ballots - The Fayetteville Observer
The Fayetteville Observer·33d ago·neutral
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