Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 3m ago

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

Live prediction market odds for "What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?". Puerto Rico is leading at 6.0%. The next most likely outcome is Greenland at 5.0%. Total volume is $676K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Leading Outcome
Puerto Rico
6.0%
Total Vol
$676K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Puerto Rico
$104K volume
6.0%
β€”
Greenland
$265K volume
5.0%
β€”
Canada
$113K volume
4.0%
β€”
Venezuela
$107K volume
3.0%
β€”
Guam
$22K volume
1.0%
β€”
District of Columbia
$43K volume
1.0%
β€”
Colombia
$22K volume
1.0%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?". Puerto Rico is leading at 6.0%. The next most likely outcome is Greenland at 5.0%. Total volume is $676K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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