Home🏛️PoliticsWhat will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 12m ago

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

Live prediction market odds for "What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?". 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals is leading at 68.0%. The next most likely outcome is 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals at 13.0%. Total volume is $20K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Leading Outcome
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
68.0%
Total Vol
$20K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
$4K volume
68.0%
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
$4K volume
13.0%
Not nine justices
$6K volume
13.0%
9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals
$2K volume
1.0%
8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals
$4K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?". 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals is leading at 68.0%. The next most likely outcome is 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals at 13.0%. Total volume is $20K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
114h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
114h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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