Home🏛️PoliticsWhat will Trump say this week?
Live marketEnds Apr 6, 2026 (20h)Updated 15m ago

What will Trump say this week?

Live prediction market odds for "What will Trump say this week?". Stupid Question is leading at 5.0%. The next most likely outcome is Who are you with / Where are you from at 5.0%. Total volume is $796K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Stupid Question
5.0%
Total Vol
$796K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Stupid Question
$65K volume
5.0%
Who are you with / Where are you from
$54K volume
5.0%
Autopen / Auto Pen
$18K volume
5.0%
Nobel
$27K volume
4.0%
Epstein
$26K volume
4.0%
Eight War
$18K volume
4.0%
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
$44K volume
3.0%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$31K volume
2.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "What will Trump say this week?". Stupid Question is leading at 5.0%. The next most likely outcome is Who are you with / Where are you from at 5.0%. Total volume is $796K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 6, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.015 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
34h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
34h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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