Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
USAID
$129K volume
43.0%
—
EPA
$8K volume
14.0%
—
IRS
$31K volume
4.0%
—
NASA
$2K volume
2.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 5m ago
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
Live prediction market odds for "Which agencies will Trump eliminate?". USAID is leading at 43.0%. The next most likely outcome is EPA at 14.0%. Total volume is $170K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Leading Outcome
USAID
43.0%
Total Vol
$170K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Which agencies will Trump eliminate?". USAID is leading at 43.0%. The next most likely outcome is EPA at 14.0%. Total volume is $170K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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