Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊWhich G7 leader will leave next?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2045 (18y 274d)Updated 19m ago

Which G7 leader will leave next?

Live prediction market odds for "Which G7 leader will leave next?". Keir Starmer is leading at 55.0%. The next most likely outcome is Emmanuel Macron at 31.0%. Total volume is $34K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2045.

Leading Outcome
Keir Starmer
55.0%
Total Vol
$34K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Keir Starmer
$13K volume
55.0%
β€”
Emmanuel Macron
$4K volume
31.0%
β€”
Giorgia Meloni
$3K volume
7.0%
β€”
Sanae Takaichi
$5K volume
5.0%
β€”
Donald Trump
$4K volume
4.0%
β€”
Friedrich Merz
$3K volume
4.0%
β€”
Mark Carney
$3K volume
1.0%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which G7 leader will leave next?". Keir Starmer is leading at 55.0%. The next most likely outcome is Emmanuel Macron at 31.0%. Total volume is $34K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2045.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2045.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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