Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Democratic party
$7K volume
67.0%
—
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2027 (1y 211d)Updated 12m ago
Which party will win the House race for VA-01?
Live prediction market odds for "Which party will win the House race for VA-01?". Democratic party is leading at 67.0%. Total volume is $12K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Democratic party
67.0%
Total Vol
$12K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Which party will win the House race for VA-01?". Democratic party is leading at 67.0%. Total volume is $12K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1299h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1299h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Virginia U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls - The New York Times
The New York Times·3h ago·neutral
🔴→🔵 The 26 most vulnerable GOP-held House seats in 2026 - Decision Desk HQ | Substack
Decision Desk HQ | Substack·27d ago·neutral
C. Andrew Rice wins GOP nomination for Virginia’s 98th House District seat
Bing News·40d ago·bullish
🔵 🔴 The Key House Seats in 2026 - Decision Desk HQ | Substack
Decision Desk HQ | Substack·41d ago·neutral
Vindman to seek reelection in 1st Congressional District under new Virginia map - InsideNoVa.com
InsideNoVa.com·52d ago·neutral
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