Home🏛️PoliticsWho will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?
Live marketEnds Aug 31, 2027 (1y 146d)Updated 2m ago

Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?". Tom Begich is leading at 81.0%. The next most likely outcome is Bernadette Wilson at 64.0%. Total volume is $23K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 31, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Tom Begich
81.0%
Total Vol
$23K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Tom Begich
$4K volume
81.0%
Bernadette Wilson
$3K volume
64.0%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$3K volume
49.0%
Dave Bronson
$2K volume
41.0%
Click Bishop
$1K volume
39.0%
Treg Taylor
$1K volume
37.0%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$3K volume
18.0%
Edna DeVries
$275 volume
11.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?". Tom Begich is leading at 81.0%. The next most likely outcome is Bernadette Wilson at 64.0%. Total volume is $23K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 31, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Aug 31, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
405h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
405h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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