Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊWho will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Live marketEnds Aug 18, 2026 (4mo)Updated 10m ago

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?". Tom Begich is leading at 79.5%. The next most likely outcome is Bernadette Wilson at 68.5%. Total volume is $160K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 18, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Tom Begich
79.5%
Total Vol
$160K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Tom Begich
$7K volume
79.5%
β€”
Bernadette Wilson
$14K volume
68.5%
β€”
Dave Bronson
$2K volume
50.5%
β€”
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$1K volume
48.0%
β€”
Click Bishop
$40K volume
39.5%
β€”
Treg Taylor
$55K volume
33.5%
β€”
Bruce Walden
$1K volume
19.5%
β€”
Matt Claman
$9K volume
18.5%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?". Tom Begich is leading at 79.5%. The next most likely outcome is Bernadette Wilson at 68.5%. Total volume is $160K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 18, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Aug 18, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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