Home🏛️PoliticsWho will be confirmed by the Senate before May?
Live marketEnds May 1, 2026 (24d)Updated 6m ago

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?". Billy Long is leading at 55.0%. The next most likely outcome is Stevan Pearce at 46.0%. Total volume is $56K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Billy Long
55.0%
Total Vol
$56K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Billy Long
$6K volume
55.0%
Stevan Pearce
$6K volume
46.0%
Robert Cekada
$6K volume
37.0%
David MacNeil
$4K volume
7.0%
Casey Means
$12K volume
6.0%
Lindsey Halligan
$2K volume
6.0%
Brett Matsumoto
$4K volume
6.0%
Scott Bessent
$6K volume
4.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?". Billy Long is leading at 55.0%. The next most likely outcome is Stevan Pearce at 46.0%. Total volume is $56K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 1, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
381h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
381h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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