Home🏛️PoliticsWho will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2045 (18y 274d)Updated 10m ago

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?". Ding Xuexiang is leading at 21.0%. The next most likely outcome is Li Qiang at 10.0%. Total volume is $13K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2045.

Leading Outcome
Ding Xuexiang
21.0%
Total Vol
$13K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Ding Xuexiang
$3K volume
21.0%
Li Qiang
$1K volume
10.0%
Cai Qi
$1K volume
9.0%
Wang Huning
$203 volume
8.0%
Zhao Leji
$639 volume
7.0%
Li Xi
$351 volume
7.0%
Ma Xingrui
$280 volume
5.0%
Li Ganjie
$161 volume
5.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?". Ding Xuexiang is leading at 21.0%. The next most likely outcome is Li Qiang at 10.0%. Total volume is $13K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2045.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2045.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
4035h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
4035h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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