Home🏛️PoliticsWho will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (8mo)Updated 9m ago

Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?". Stephen Miran is leading at 62.0%. The next most likely outcome is Rick Rieder at 7.0%. Total volume is $229K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Stephen Miran
62.0%
Total Vol
$229K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Stephen Miran
$61K volume
62.0%
Rick Rieder
$23K volume
7.0%
Lorie Logan
$194 volume
6.0%
Marc Sumerlin
$15 volume
6.0%
Judy Shelton
$55K volume
6.0%
Scott Bessent
$1K volume
6.0%
Kevin Hassett
$17K volume
4.0%
Philip Jefferson
Volume n/a
3.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?". Stephen Miran is leading at 62.0%. The next most likely outcome is Rick Rieder at 7.0%. Total volume is $229K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
468h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
468h
Avg Sentiment
-0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories