Home🏛️PoliticsWho will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2045 (18y 273d)Updated 5m ago

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?". Yoav Gallant is leading at 77.0%. The next most likely outcome is Naftali Bennett at 36.0%. Total volume is $64K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2045.

Leading Outcome
Yoav Gallant
77.0%
Total Vol
$64K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yoav Gallant
$3K volume
77.0%
Naftali Bennett
$22K volume
36.0%
Israel Katz
$10K volume
19.0%
Gadi Eisenkot
$4K volume
14.0%
Yariv Levin
$6K volume
6.0%
Benny Gantz
$2K volume
5.8%
Yair Lapid
$4K volume
5.0%
Yair Golan
$2K volume
4.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?". Yoav Gallant is leading at 77.0%. The next most likely outcome is Naftali Bennett at 36.0%. Total volume is $64K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2045.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2045.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
989h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
989h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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