Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2030 (3y 268d)Updated 2m ago

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?". Angela Rayner is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is Nigel Farage at 13.0%. Total volume is $460K across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2030.

Leading Outcome
Angela Rayner
25.0%
Total Vol
$460K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Angela Rayner
$44K volume
25.0%
β€”
Nigel Farage
$127K volume
13.0%
β€”
Ed Miliband
$39K volume
12.0%
β€”
Wes Streeting
$42K volume
9.0%
β€”
Shabana Mahmood
$8K volume
7.0%
β€”
Rupert Lowe
$128K volume
5.0%
β€”
Al Carns
$5K volume
5.0%
β€”
Kemi Badenoch
$16K volume
4.0%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?". Angela Rayner is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is Nigel Farage at 13.0%. Total volume is $460K across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2030.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2030.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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