Home🏛️PoliticsWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 2d ago

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?". Scott Turner is leading at 0.1%. The next most likely outcome is Doug Collins at 0.1%. Total volume is $2.9M across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Scott Turner
0.1%
Total Vol
$2.9M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Scott Turner
$12K volume
0.1%
Doug Collins
$13K volume
0.1%
John Ratcliffe
$8K volume
0.1%
Mike Waltz
$13K volume
0.1%
Marco Rubio
$60K volume
0.1%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$84K volume
0.1%
Jamieson Greer
$13K volume
0.1%
Kelly Loeffler
$10K volume
0.1%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?". Scott Turner is leading at 0.1%. The next most likely outcome is Doug Collins at 0.1%. Total volume is $2.9M across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.037 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 12 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
45h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
45h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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