Home🏛️PoliticsWho will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?
Live marketEnds Nov 7, 2028 (2y 216d)Updated 15m ago

Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?". Marco Rubio is leading at 29.0%. The next most likely outcome is J.D. Vance at 8.0%. Total volume is $892K across 21 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.

Leading Outcome
Marco Rubio
29.0%
Total Vol
$892K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Marco Rubio
$208K volume
29.0%
J.D. Vance
$129K volume
8.0%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$53K volume
6.0%
Erika Kirk
$110K volume
6.0%
Glenn Youngkin
$46K volume
6.0%
Donald J. Trump
$90K volume
4.0%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
$46K volume
4.0%
Byron Donalds
$14K volume
3.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?". Marco Rubio is leading at 29.0%. The next most likely outcome is J.D. Vance at 8.0%. Total volume is $892K across 21 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.

Expected resolution date: Nov 7, 2028.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.029 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
4.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
40%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
178h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
40%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
178h
Avg Sentiment
+0.100
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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