Home🏛️PoliticsWho will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 2m ago

Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?". Delcy Rodríguez is leading at 73.0%. The next most likely outcome is María Corina Machado at 14.0%. Total volume is $4.0M across 18 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Delcy Rodríguez
73.0%
Total Vol
$4.0M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Delcy Rodríguez
$865K volume
73.0%
María Corina Machado
$968K volume
14.0%
Nicolás Maduro
$312K volume
12.0%
Edmundo González
$372K volume
6.0%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$75K volume
5.0%
Jorge Rodríguez
$23K volume
4.0%
Vladimir Padrino López
$61K volume
3.0%
Marco Rubio
$303K volume
3.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?". Delcy Rodríguez is leading at 73.0%. The next most likely outcome is María Corina Machado at 14.0%. Total volume is $4.0M across 18 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

62%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.167 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
62%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
5.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
62%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
50%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
459h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
62%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
50%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
459h
Avg Sentiment
+0.125
Neutral %
50%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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