Home🏛️PoliticsWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 11m ago

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?". Lori Chavez-DeRemer is leading at 36.0%. The next most likely outcome is Tulsi Gabbard at 21.0%. Total volume is $263K across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Leading Outcome
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
36.0%
Total Vol
$263K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$24K volume
36.0%
Tulsi Gabbard
$55K volume
21.0%
Pete Hegseth
$55K volume
17.0%
Howard Lutnick
$36K volume
10.0%
Linda McMahon
$6K volume
4.0%
Lee Zeldin
$7K volume
4.0%
Sean Duffy
$5K volume
3.0%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$11K volume
3.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?". Lori Chavez-DeRemer is leading at 36.0%. The next most likely outcome is Tulsi Gabbard at 21.0%. Total volume is $263K across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.018 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 11 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
53h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
53h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories