Live prediction market odds for "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?". Gavin Newsom is leading at 88.0%. The next most likely outcome is Josh Shapiro at 86.0%. Total volume is $442K across 34 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Live prediction market odds for "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?". Gavin Newsom is leading at 88.0%. The next most likely outcome is Josh Shapiro at 86.0%. Total volume is $442K across 34 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2028.
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.