Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Elon Musk
$15K volume
28.0%
—
Taylor Swift
$5K volume
16.0%
—
Jensen Huang
$2K volume
9.0%
—
Sam Altman
$3K volume
8.0%
—
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$6K volume
7.0%
—
Xi Jinping
$1K volume
7.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 31, 2030 (3y 300d)Updated 36m ago
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?
Live prediction market odds for "Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?". Elon Musk is leading at 28.0%. The next most likely outcome is Taylor Swift at 16.0%. Total volume is $32K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 31, 2030.
Leading Outcome
Elon Musk
28.0%
Total Vol
$32K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?". Elon Musk is leading at 28.0%. The next most likely outcome is Taylor Swift at 16.0%. Total volume is $32K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 31, 2030.
Expected resolution date: Jan 31, 2030.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2801h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2801h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Meta Plans to Add Facial Recognition Technology to Its Smart Glasses - The New York Times
The New York Times·51d ago·neutral
Trump is going to Davos — here are the big names who aren't - CNBC
CNBC·77d ago·neutral
2025 was ICE’s deadliest year in two decades. Here are the 32 people who died in custody - The Guardian
The Guardian·92d ago·neutral
Time Person of the Year: How is the winner chosen?
Bing News·116d ago·neutral
'Architects of AI' named Time magazine's 2025 person of the year - pbs.org
pbs.org·116d ago·neutral
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