Home🏛️PoliticsWho will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?
Live marketEnds Aug 6, 2026 (3mo)Updated 1m ago

Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?". Buddy Carter is leading at 77.0%. The next most likely outcome is Mike Collins at 74.0%. Total volume is $230K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 6, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Buddy Carter
77.0%
Total Vol
$230K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Buddy Carter
$2K volume
77.0%
Mike Collins
$3K volume
74.0%
Marsha Blackburn
$6K volume
62.0%
Nate Morris
$5K volume
35.0%
Daniel Cameron
$4K volume
23.0%
John Rose
$1K volume
17.0%
Andy Barr
$15K volume
9.5%
John Fleming
$4K volume
8.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?". Buddy Carter is leading at 77.0%. The next most likely outcome is Mike Collins at 74.0%. Total volume is $230K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 6, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Aug 6, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
50h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
50h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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