Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Chong Won-o
$16K volume
82.0%
—
Oh Se-hoon
$11K volume
14.0%
—
Seo Young-kyo
$627 volume
6.0%
—
Park Ju-min
$839 volume
5.0%
—
Kim Min-seok
$61 volume
4.0%
—
Na Kyung-won
$282 volume
1.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 3, 2027 (1y 58d)Updated 8m ago
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?". Chong Won-o is leading at 82.0%. The next most likely outcome is Oh Se-hoon at 14.0%. Total volume is $30K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 3, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Chong Won-o
82.0%
Total Vol
$30K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?". Chong Won-o is leading at 82.0%. The next most likely outcome is Oh Se-hoon at 14.0%. Total volume is $30K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 3, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jun 3, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 19 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
288h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
288h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Seoul Mayoral Candidates Choose Songs in Debate - 조선일보
조선일보·2d ago·neutral
People Power Party Debate Targets Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon - 조선일보
조선일보·5d ago·neutral
Democratic Party Seoul Mayor Candidates Debate Omits Cancún Controversy - 조선일보
조선일보·5d ago·neutral
Candidate in ruling party's primary for Seoul mayoral election
Bing News·6d ago·neutral
Lee Jae-myung Stars in Seoul’s Mayoral Race - The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine
The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine·11d ago·neutral
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