Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊWho will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Live marketEnds Oct 17, 2027 (1y 191d)Updated 15m ago

Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?". Kareem Allam is leading at 30.0%. The next most likely outcome is Ken Sim at 26.0%. Total volume is $24K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Oct 17, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Kareem Allam
30.0%
Total Vol
$24K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Kareem Allam
$13 volume
30.0%
β€”
Ken Sim
$11K volume
26.0%
β€”
Pete Fry
$32 volume
24.0%
β€”
John Coupar
$11K volume
18.0%
β€”
Sean Orr
$2 volume
9.0%
β€”
Rebecca Bligh
$2 volume
8.0%
β€”
Kirk LaPointe
$2K volume
1.0%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?". Kareem Allam is leading at 30.0%. The next most likely outcome is Ken Sim at 26.0%. Total volume is $24K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Oct 17, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Oct 17, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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