Home🏛️PoliticsWho will win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live marketEnds May 30, 2028 (2y 55d)Updated 9m ago

Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?". douard Philippe is leading at 28.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jordan Bardella at 23.0%. Total volume is $79K across 27 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 30, 2028.

Leading Outcome
douard Philippe
28.0%
Total Vol
$79K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
douard Philippe
$11K volume
28.0%
Jordan Bardella
$25K volume
23.0%
Gabriel Attal
$222 volume
11.0%
Marine Le Pen
$23K volume
11.0%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$5K volume
9.0%
Gérald Darmanin
$95 volume
6.0%
Dominique de Villepin
$4K volume
6.0%
Sébastien Lecornu
$1K volume
6.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?". douard Philippe is leading at 28.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jordan Bardella at 23.0%. Total volume is $79K across 27 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 30, 2028.

Expected resolution date: May 30, 2028.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
249h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
249h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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