Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊWho will win the 2028 London mayoral election?
Live marketEnds May 1, 2029 (3y 26d)Updated 12m ago

Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?". Sadiq Khan is leading at 23.0%. The next most likely outcome is Laila Cunningham at 22.0%. Total volume is $11K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2029.

Leading Outcome
Sadiq Khan
23.0%
Total Vol
$11K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Sadiq Khan
$2K volume
23.0%
β€”
Laila Cunningham
$943 volume
22.0%
β€”
Rosena Allin-Khan
$991 volume
10.0%
β€”
Mete Coban
$1K volume
9.0%
β€”
James Cleverly
$944 volume
2.0%
β€”
Georgia Gould
$1K volume
2.0%
β€”
Zack Polanski
$2K volume
1.0%
β€”
David Lammy
$1K volume
1.0%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?". Sadiq Khan is leading at 23.0%. The next most likely outcome is Laila Cunningham at 22.0%. Total volume is $11K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2029.

Expected resolution date: May 1, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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