Home🏛️PoliticsWho will win the next Colombian presidential election?
Live marketEnds May 31, 2027 (1y 55d)Updated 8m ago

Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?". Iván Cepeda Castro is leading at 44.0%. The next most likely outcome is Paloma Valencia at 41.0%. Total volume is $236K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 31, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Iván Cepeda Castro
44.0%
Total Vol
$236K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Iván Cepeda Castro
$56K volume
44.0%
Paloma Valencia
$40K volume
41.0%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$124K volume
17.2%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$1K volume
5.0%
Santiago Botero
$2K volume
4.0%
Federico Gutiérrez
$2K volume
4.0%
Vicky Dávila
$2K volume
3.0%
Daniel Quintero
$2K volume
3.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?". Iván Cepeda Castro is leading at 44.0%. The next most likely outcome is Paloma Valencia at 41.0%. Total volume is $236K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 31, 2027.

Expected resolution date: May 31, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

bullish

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

66%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.233 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
66%
Label
bullish
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
66%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
587h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
66%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
587h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories