Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Coalition including ODM
$8K volume
56.0%
—
Coalition including UDA
$995 volume
42.0%
—
Coalition including DCP
$1 volume
12.0%
—
Live marketEnds Aug 30, 2028 (2y 147d)Updated 12m ago
Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?
Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?". Coalition including ODM is leading at 56.0%. The next most likely outcome is Coalition including UDA at 42.0%. Total volume is $9K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 30, 2028.
Leading Outcome
Coalition including ODM
56.0%
Total Vol
$9K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?". Coalition including ODM is leading at 56.0%. The next most likely outcome is Coalition including UDA at 42.0%. Total volume is $9K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 30, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Aug 30, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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