Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊWho will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2028 (2y 270d)Updated 7m ago

Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?". Chuck Schumer is leading at 54.0%. The next most likely outcome is Brian Schatz at 25.0%. Total volume is $101K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2028.

Leading Outcome
Chuck Schumer
54.0%
Total Vol
$101K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Chuck Schumer
$23K volume
54.0%
β€”
Brian Schatz
$16K volume
25.0%
β€”
Chris Murphy
$27K volume
5.0%
β€”
Mark Warner
$4 volume
4.0%
β€”
Chris Van Hollen
$18K volume
4.0%
β€”
Patty Murray
$5K volume
4.0%
β€”
Ruben Gallego
$128 volume
4.0%
β€”
Jon Ossoff
$73 volume
4.0%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?". Chuck Schumer is leading at 54.0%. The next most likely outcome is Brian Schatz at 25.0%. Total volume is $101K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2028.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2028.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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