What are the odds of Before Jan 20, 2029 in Will a cabinet member be impeached??

Before Jan 20, 2029 is currently priced at 67.0% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Before 2028 in Will a cabinet member be impeached??

Before 2028 is currently priced at 59.0% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Before 2027 in Will a cabinet member be impeached??

Before 2027 is currently priced at 16.0% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Before July 2026 in Will a cabinet member be impeached??

Before July 2026 is currently priced at 3.3% in prediction markets.

Home›🏛️Politics›Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 288d)Updated 13m ago

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Live prediction market odds for "Will a cabinet member be impeached?". Before Jan 20, 2029 is leading at 67.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2028 at 59.0%. Total volume is $124K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Leading Outcome

Before Jan 20, 2029

67.0%

Total Vol

$124K

Across all linked platforms

Platform

Kalshi only

Best Spread

0 bps

High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome

Market Prob

Spread

Before Jan 20, 2029

$4K volume

67.0%

—

Before 2028

$17K volume

59.0%

—

Before 2027

$29K volume

16.0%

—

Before July 2026

$73K volume

3.3%

—

How This Market Resolves

Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

Confidence

Low confidence signal

Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.

Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles

Metric Pack A · Lean

Confidence

Label

unavailable

Bull/Bear

0.00x

Source Diversity

Metric Pack B · Balanced

Confidence

Label

unavailable

Bullish %

Bearish %

Median Age

—

Sources

Metric Pack C · Power

Confidence

Label

unavailable

Bullish %

Bearish %

Median Age

—

Avg Sentiment

0.000

Neutral %

Duplicate %

Coverage trend: No coverage

Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Current Odds

How This Market Resolves

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

How fresh is this data?

News Sentiment Signal

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