Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Sep 1, 2026
$14K volume
33.0%
—
Live marketEnds Sep 1, 2026 (4mo)Updated 11m ago
Will anyone be charged in the Minnesota daycare fraud scandal?
Live prediction market odds for "Will anyone be charged in the Minnesota daycare fraud scandal?". Before Sep 1, 2026 is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $491K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 1, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before Sep 1, 2026
33.0%
Total Vol
$491K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will anyone be charged in the Minnesota daycare fraud scandal?". Before Sep 1, 2026 is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $491K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Sep 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.029 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
883h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
883h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Everything we know about Minnesota's massive fraud schemes - CBS News
CBS News·16d ago·neutral
Senate Republican expands childcare fraud crackdown to more blue states
Bing News·20d ago·bullish
Minnesota's Fraud Scandal Isn't an Immigration Problem. It's a Spending Problem.
Bing News·27d ago·neutral
Jim Jordan grills Tim Walz on Minnesota fraud scandal: ‘Why didn’t you tell the truth?’
Bing News·32d ago·neutral
The political risk in Vance’s war on fraud in Minnesota
Bing News·34d ago·neutral
Related Politics Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 24.1% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $986.2M
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 49.0% · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
Vol $522.8M
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Lead 17.6% · JD Vance
Vol $492.8M
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Lead 28.7% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $81.3M
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Lead 69.5% · TISZA
Vol $57.4M
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Lead 64.5% · Péter Magyar
Vol $47.4M