Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Nov 1, 2026
$5K volume
17.0%
—
Before Jul 1, 2026
$11K volume
12.0%
—
Live marketEnds Nov 1, 2026 (6mo)Updated just now
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
Live prediction market odds for "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?". Before Nov 1, 2026 is leading at 17.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jul 1, 2026 at 12.0%. Total volume is $27K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 1, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
17.0%
Total Vol
$27K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?". Before Nov 1, 2026 is leading at 17.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jul 1, 2026 at 12.0%. Total volume is $27K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Nov 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
382h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
382h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Benjamin Netanyahu pardon request advances as Justice Ministry reviews new materials - The Jerusalem Post
The Jerusalem Post·6d ago·neutral
Former Israeli Supreme Court judge doubts Netanyahu will receive pardon - Middle East Monitor
Middle East Monitor·13d ago·neutral
Former Israeli judge does not expect Netanyahu to be pardoned
Bing News·14d ago·neutral
Minister reportedly backs Netanyahu pardon in position paper submitted to president - The Times of Israel
The Times of Israel·15d ago·neutral
Stand-in justice minister formally recommends that Herzog pardon Netanyahu - Haaretz
Haaretz·15d ago·neutral
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