Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Jan 20, 2029
$16K volume
85.0%
—
Before 2028
$11K volume
72.0%
—
Before 2027
$216K volume
58.0%
—
Before July 2026
$324K volume
19.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 17m ago
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Live prediction market odds for "Will marijuana be rescheduled?". Before Jan 20, 2029 is leading at 85.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2028 at 72.0%. Total volume is $5.3M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Leading Outcome
Before Jan 20, 2029
85.0%
Total Vol
$5.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will marijuana be rescheduled?". Before Jan 20, 2029 is leading at 85.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2028 at 72.0%. Total volume is $5.3M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
54%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.051 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
174h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
174h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Feds Finalize New Rule Allowing Some Hemp Products As Medicare Advantage Benefits - Marijuana Moment
Marijuana Moment·2d ago·neutral
Trump Justice Department turmoil not expected to delay marijuana rescheduling
Bing News·3d ago·bearish
Cannabis rescheduling: potential distant impacts on healthcare providers - Reuters
Reuters·3d ago·neutral
Marijuana Rescheduling Could Be Impacted If Trump Replaces Bondi As Attorney General With Zeldin
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Trump CBD reimbursement program launches amid legal challenge from rescheduling foes
Bing News·5d ago·neutral
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