Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Jan 21, 2029
$11K volume
55.0%
—
Before 2027
$61K volume
9.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 21, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 4m ago
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
Live prediction market odds for "Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?". Before Jan 21, 2029 is leading at 55.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2027 at 9.0%. Total volume is $232K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 21, 2029.
Leading Outcome
Before Jan 21, 2029
55.0%
Total Vol
$232K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?". Before Jan 21, 2029 is leading at 55.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2027 at 9.0%. Total volume is $232K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 21, 2029.
Expected resolution date: Jan 21, 2029.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
286h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
286h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Taking stock of the STOCK Act: What’s different this time around?
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
Congress May Finally Ban Its Own Stock Trading and NANC Would Feel It First - 24/7 Wall St.
24/7 Wall St.·5d ago·neutral
Congress May Finally Ban Its Own Stock Trading and NANC Would Feel It First
Bing News·5d ago·neutral
Lawmakers said they wanted to rein in their own stock trading. What happened? - Roll Call
Roll Call·6d ago·neutral
Hickenlooper investments raise questions amid push to ban congressional stock trading - Colorado Newsline
Colorado Newsline·11d ago·neutral
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