Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before election day 2026
$181K volume
23.0%
—
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (7mo)Updated 5m ago
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
Live prediction market odds for "Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?". Before election day 2026 is leading at 23.0%. Total volume is $181K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before election day 2026
23.0%
Total Vol
$181K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?". Before election day 2026 is leading at 23.0%. Total volume is $181K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
Related Politics Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 24.1% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $986.2M
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 49.0% · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
Vol $522.8M
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Lead 17.6% · JD Vance
Vol $492.8M
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Lead 28.7% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $81.3M
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Lead 69.5% · TISZA
Vol $57.4M
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Lead 64.5% · Péter Magyar
Vol $47.4M