Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Jan 1, 2027
$404K volume
21.0%
—
Before May 1, 2026
$1.1M volume
3.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 11m ago
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Live prediction market odds for "Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?". Before Jan 1, 2027 is leading at 21.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before May 1, 2026 at 3.0%. Total volume is $1.6M across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
21.0%
Total Vol
$1.6M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?". Before Jan 1, 2027 is leading at 21.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before May 1, 2026 at 3.0%. Total volume is $1.6M across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.043 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
57h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
57h
Avg Sentiment
-0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Trump’s SAVE America Act would end voter registration drives nationwide - KOTA Territory News
KOTA Territory News·1d ago·neutral
Status of SAVE Act in Senate. What state passed its own SAVE version? - PhillyBurbs
PhillyBurbs·1d ago·neutral
Lawsuit filed after DeSantis signs bill requiring voters to prove citizenship - Daytona Times
Daytona Times·2d ago·bearish
Here Are the States Advancing New Voting Restrictions - Time Magazine
Time Magazine·2d ago·neutral
GOP voter ID bill hits a partisan wall in the Senate - NW Labor Press
NW Labor Press·2d ago·neutral
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