Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before 2027
$18K volume
26.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (8mo)Updated 9m ago
Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?". Before 2027 is leading at 26.0%. Total volume is $18K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Before 2027
26.0%
Total Vol
$18K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?". Before 2027 is leading at 26.0%. Total volume is $18K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bearishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
67%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.241 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
184h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
184h
Avg Sentiment
-0.100
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
National Park Service Faces “Catastrophic” Changes Amid History Bans And Employee Cuts - TheTravel
TheTravel·14h ago·bearish
Trump budget seeks $1.5T in defense spending alongside cuts in domestic programs - Federal News Network
Federal News Network·2d ago·bearish
Trump’s FY27 budget proposes boosts and cuts to tech operations - Nextgov/FCW
Nextgov/FCW·2d ago·bearish
White House again proposes steep NASA budget cuts - spacenews.com
spacenews.com·3d ago·bearish
Contracts for April 1, 2026 - war.gov
war.gov·4d ago·neutral
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