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Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 15m ago

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?". Before Jan 1, 2027 is leading at 77.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Aug 1, 2026 at 63.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
77.0%
Total Vol
$7K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Jan 1, 2027
$90 volume
77.0%
—
Before Aug 1, 2026
$342 volume
63.0%
—
Before May 1, 2026
$6K volume
11.0%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?". Before Jan 1, 2027 is leading at 77.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Aug 1, 2026 at 63.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
2
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
448h
Sources
2
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
448h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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