Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before his term ends
$5K volume
33.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 289d)Updated 9m ago
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?". Before his term ends is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $5K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Leading Outcome
Before his term ends
33.0%
Total Vol
$5K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?". Before his term ends is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $5K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.036 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
124h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
124h
Avg Sentiment
-0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Judge rejects Trump’s effort to end Jan. 6 civil suits ahead of trial - MS NOW
MS NOW·4d ago·neutral
January 6th Civil Case Against Trump Advances - NAACP
NAACP·4d ago·neutral
Jayapal Statement on Civil Case Against Trump Advancing - House.gov
House.gov·4d ago·neutral
Judge denies Trump effort to end Jan. 6 lawsuits before trial - Roll Call
Roll Call·4d ago·bearish
Trump isn’t immune from civil claims his Jan. 6 rally speech incited riot, judge says - WWNY-TV
WWNY-TV·5d ago·neutral
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