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Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 3m ago

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?". Before January 20, 2029 is leading at 24.8%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2027 at 9.0%. Total volume is $6.7M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Leading Outcome
Before January 20, 2029
24.8%
Total Vol
$6.7M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before January 20, 2029
$3.3M volume
24.8%
—
Before 2027
$1.2M volume
9.0%
—
Before Jul 1, 2026
$31K volume
2.0%
—
Before May 1, 2026
$2.2M volume
1.0%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?". Before January 20, 2029 is leading at 24.8%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2027 at 9.0%. Total volume is $6.7M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.

Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.001 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
1027h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
1027h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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