Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before 2029
$10K volume
25.0%
—
Home›🏛️Politics›Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2029 (2y 271d)Updated 6m ago
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
Live prediction market odds for "Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?". Before 2029 is leading at 25.0%. Total volume is $10K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2029.
Leading Outcome
Before 2029
25.0%
Total Vol
$10K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?". Before 2029 is leading at 25.0%. Total volume is $10K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2029.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2029.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bearishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
67%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.247 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
1803h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
1803h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Trump administration files lawsuit against Minnesota, targets transgender athlete policies - National News Desk
National News Desk·3d ago·bearish
The Olympic committee bans trans athletes from women's events, raising many questions - NPR
NPR·10d ago·neutral
Bans Against Trans Athletes Will Not “Save Women’s Sports” - American Civil Liberties Union
American Civil Liberties Union·34d ago·neutral
The Trojan Horse Before the Supreme Court - New York Magazine
New York Magazine·70d ago·neutral
Unpacking the transgender athletes’ case at the Supreme Court - The National Constitution Center
The National Constitution Center·74d ago·neutral
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