We track every open market on 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
Open markets tracked
11,626
$8.1B all-time volume on the markets open now
Kalshi and Polymarket disagree
Kalshi
Polymarket
The same outcome on both venues, with settlement rules checked by a person. Busiest markets first; each row shows how old its prices are.
66¢67¢12¢13¢13¢15¢15¢16¢9¢10¢26¢27¢63¢64¢60¢61¢Showing 8 of 30 verified price gaps. See every matched market in the scanner
Live 2026 Midterms
Polls open in11days15hrs16min37secKalshi and Polymarket, side by side, for every Senate, House and governor race. Markets expect 5 Senate seats to change party.
New England vs ChicagoChicago at 60¢Closes in 2dUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 22 at 98¢Closes in 8hNew England vs Chicago: SpreadChicago wins by over 1.5 points at 57¢Closes in 2dHoffenheim vs LyonHoffenheim at 54¢Closes in 1dWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot at 49¢Closes in 5dProjected Senate
Faded ends are seats not up this year. Each race counts for the party the two venues favour on average.
RatingDemocrats blue, republicans red.
LiveConnected to Kalshi and PolymarketKalshiPolymarket
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed Decision in October? 📈 Economics | No change 95% | $3.3M | in 6 days | Compare |
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 🏛️ Politics | Democrats Sweep 69% | $2.3M | in 12 days | Compare |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 🏛️ Politics | October 22 99% | $2.3M | in 8h | View |
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 🏛️ Politics | J.D. Vance 44% | $1.8M | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 ⚽ Sports | Harry Kane 76% | $1.6M | in 4 days | Compare |
Cavaliers vs. 76ers ⚽ Sports | O/U 221.5 82% | $1.1M | in 3h | View |
Match Winner 100% | $1.1M | in 4h | Compare | |
NBA: 2027 Champion ⚽ Sports | Oklahoma City Thunder 23% | $971K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Gadi Eizenkot 49% | $959K | in 5 days | Compare | |
Patriots vs. Bears ⚽ Sports | O/U 24.5 97% | $931K | in 5h | View |
Nuggets vs. Thunder ⚽ Sports | O/U 221.5 81% | $909K | in 6h | View |
280-299 57% | $876K | in 20h | View | |
Next French Presidential Election 🏛️ Politics | Marine Le Pen 46% | $836K | Apr 19, 2027 | Compare |
Barcelona 24% | $823K | May 30, 2027 | Compare | |
Which party will win the House in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic Party 93% | $763K | in 12 days | View |
Map 2 Winner 100% | $592K | in 3h | Compare | |
Texas Senate Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | James Talarico (D) 68% | $542K | in 12 days | Compare |
↑ 90,000 54% | $531K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 🏛️ Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% | $515K | Nov 8, 2028 | Compare |
↑ 82,500 81% | $475K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 41% | $454K | in 3 days | View | |
↑ 82,000 78% | $437K | in 3 days | Compare | |
Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana Game Spread +/-5.5 50% | $409K | in 7 days | View | |
Liverpool FC 46% | $383K | in 3 days | Compare | |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 23? ₿ Crypto | 72,000 100% | $332K | in 20h | Compare |
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% | $318K | in 3h | View | |
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic Party 69% | $312K | in 12 days | Compare |
Map 2 Winner 100% | $307K | in 3h | View | |
↓ 80,000 10% | $304K | in 8h | Compare | |
December 31 38% | $300K | in 9 days | View | |
↑ $100 100% | $284K | in 9 days | View | |
Iotova 10-20% 65% | $283K | in 3 days | View |
Fed Decision in October?No change$3.3M todayEnds in 6 days95%Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep$2.3M todayEnds in 12 days69%US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 22$2.3M todayEnds in 8h99%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance$1.8M todayEnds Nov 7, 202844%Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Harry Kane$1.6M todayEnds in 4 days76%Cavaliers vs. 76ersO/U 221.5$1.1M todayEnds in 3h82%Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group BMatch Winner$1.1M todayEnds in 4h100%NBA: 2027 ChampionOklahoma City Thunder$971K todayEnds Jul 1, 202723%Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot$959K todayEnds in 5 days49%Patriots vs. BearsO/U 24.5$931K todayEnds in 5h97%Nuggets vs. ThunderO/U 221.5$909K todayEnds in 6h81%Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?280-299$876K todayEnds in 20h57%Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen$836K todayEnds Apr 19, 202746%UEFA Champions League: 2027 ChampionBarcelona$823K todayEnds May 30, 202724%Which party will win the House in 2026?Democratic Party$763K todayEnds in 12 days93%Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMap 2 Winner$592K todayEnds in 3h100%Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D)$542K todayEnds in 12 days68%What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↑ 90,000$531K todayEnds Jan 1, 202754%Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$515K todayEnds Nov 8, 202817%What price will Bitcoin hit in October?↑ 82,500$475K todayEnds in 9 days81%Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <4%$454K todayEnds in 3 days41%What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?↑ 82,000$437K todayEnds in 3 days78%Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco ComesanaCali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana Game Spread +/-5.5$409K todayEnds in 7 days50%Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FCLiverpool FC$383K todayEnds in 3 days46%Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?72,000$332K todayEnds in 20h100%Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5$318K todayEnds in 3h100%Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party$312K todayEnds in 12 days69%Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMap 2 Winner$307K todayEnds in 3h100%What price will Bitcoin hit on October 22?↓ 80,000$304K todayEnds in 8h10%NATO x Russia military clash by...?December 31$300K todayEnds in 9 days38%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?↑ $100$284K todayEnds in 9 days100%Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryIotova 10-20%$283K todayEnds in 3 days65%