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PolymarketTotal Events:493Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:493
Observed times shown per event
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493 results Β· 1β50
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? π Ai_tech | Before Apr 1, 2027 93% | $237K | Apr 1, 2027 | Compare |
Google market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 16.6% 88% | $121K | in 3 days | Compare |
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? π Ai_tech | Anthropic 47% | $116K | Dec 31 | Compare |
Google 88% | $116K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 91% | $81K | in 8h | View |
Largest Company end of October 2026? π Ai_tech | NVIDIA 68% | $64K | in 9 days | View |
December 31, 2027 67% | $51K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Best AI at the end of 2026? π Ai_tech | Claude 49% | $49K | Dec 31 | View |
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 20% | $47K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Anthropic market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 3.7% 99% | $31K | in 3 days | Compare |
Best AI in Oct 2026? π Ai_tech | Gemini 87% | $29K | in 9 days | View |
How many launches will SpaceX have in October? π Ai_tech | Above 6 99% | $27K | in 10 days | Compare |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...? π Ai_tech | No release by October 31 55% | $26K | in 8h | View |
Google 58% | $24K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
OpenAI market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 16.5% 99% | $24K | in 3 days | Compare |
Best AI this week π Ai_tech | Gemini 92% | $17K | in 4 days | View |
0 79% | $16K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 22? π Ai_tech | $210 95% | $13K | in 17 min | View |
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 560 97% | $12K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
In which month will Anthropic IPO? π Ai_tech | November 2026 73% | $12K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
December 31, 2027 52% | $12K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? π Ai_tech | Microsoft 45% | $11K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? π Ai_tech | $1.50β$1.75T 51% | $10K | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...? π Ai_tech | November 30 92% | $10K | in 1 day | Compare |
Above $205 98% | $9K | Apr 27, 2027 | View | |
Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 68% | $9K | in 9 days | Compare |
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 22? π Ai_tech | $510 98% | $8K | in 17 min | View |
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 84% | $8K | in 1 day | View |
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) π Ai_tech | Above 11.7% 99% | $8K | in 8h | View |
Anthropic 97% | $8K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI IPO by...? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 34% | $8K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | 1.5T+ 43% | $8K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026? π Ai_tech | 5+ 99% | $8K | in 9 days | View |
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | 1.8T+ 53% | $8K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Above 18.5% 99% | $7K | in 8h | View | |
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? π Ai_tech | November 9βNovember 15 20% | $7K | in 4 days | View |
Yes 18% | $7K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 225 million 85% | $7K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 22? π Ai_tech | $360 91% | $7K | in 17 min | View |
Above 11.1% 60% | $6K | in 8h | View | |
3rd Largest Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Alphabet 57% | $6K | in 9 days | View |
Google 56% | $6K | in 5 days | Compare | |
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Alibaba 76% | $5K | in 9 days | View |
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? π Ai_tech | Above 120 99% | $5K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Moonshot 46% | $5K | in 9 days | View |
CATL 20% | $4K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1430+ 88% | $4K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAI 61% | $4K | in 5 days | Compare | |
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? π Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2027 33% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...? π Ai_tech | No release by November 30 28% | $4K | in 1 day | View |

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 2027$237K todayEnds Apr 1, 202793%
Google market share this weekAbove 16.6%$121K todayEnds in 3 days88%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Anthropic$116K todayEnds Dec 3147%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Google$116K todayEnds in 9 days88%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?December 31$81K todayEnds in 8h91%
Largest Company end of October 2026?NVIDIA$64K todayEnds in 9 days68%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?December 31, 2027$51K todayEnds Jan 1, 202767%
Best AI at the end of 2026?Claude$49K todayEnds Dec 3149%
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$47K todayEnds Jan 1, 202820%
Anthropic market share this weekAbove 3.7%$31K todayEnds in 3 days99%
Best AI in Oct 2026?Gemini$29K todayEnds in 9 days87%
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?Above 6$27K todayEnds in 10 days99%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?No release by October 31$26K todayEnds in 8h55%
Which company has the best AI model end of November?Google$24K todayEnds Dec 158%
OpenAI market share this weekAbove 16.5%$24K todayEnds in 3 days99%
Best AI this weekGemini$17K todayEnds in 4 days92%
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0$16K todayEnds Jan 1, 202779%
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 22?$210$13K todayEnds in 17 min95%
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026Above 560$12K todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
In which month will Anthropic IPO?November 2026$12K todayEnds Jan 1, 202873%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027$12K todayEnds Jan 1, 202752%
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Microsoft$11K todayEnds Jan 1, 202745%
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?$1.50β$1.75T$10K todayEnds Jan 1, 202851%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?November 30$10K todayEnds in 1 day92%
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026Above $205$9K todayEnds Apr 27, 202798%
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Xiaomi$9K todayEnds in 9 days68%
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 22?$510$8K todayEnds in 17 min98%
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?December 31$8K todayEnds in 1 day84%
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 11.7%$8K todayEnds in 8h99%
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Anthropic$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202797%
OpenAI IPO by...?June 30, 2027$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202843%
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?5+$8K todayEnds in 9 days99%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap1.8T+$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202853%
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 18.5%$7K todayEnds in 8h99%
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?November 9βNovember 15$7K todayEnds in 4 days20%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes$7K todayEnds Jan 1, 202718%
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026Above 225 million$7K todayEnds Mar 31, 202885%
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 22?$360$7K todayEnds in 17 min91%
Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 11.1%$6K todayEnds in 8h60%
3rd Largest Company end of October?Alphabet$6K todayEnds in 9 days57%
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?Google$6K todayEnds in 5 days56%
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Alibaba$5K todayEnds in 9 days76%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?Above 120$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202799%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Moonshot$5K todayEnds in 9 days46%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CATL$4K todayEnds Jul 1, 202720%
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?1430+$4K todayEnds Jul 1, 202788%
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?OpenAI$4K todayEnds in 5 days61%
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?Before Jan 1, 2027$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?No release by November 30$4K todayEnds in 1 day28%