AI / Tech Events
Market dataExplore markets from
Kalshi&
PolymarketTotal Events:139Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:139
Observed times shown per event
All categoriesποΈ Politicsπ Economicsβ½ SportsβΏ Cryptoπ AI / Techπ Worldπ Cultureπ Climateπ¬ Scienceπ Other
139 results Β· 51β100Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Top AI model this month π Ai_tech | gemini-4-argon-high 87% | $265 | in 9 days | Compare |
Anthropic 76% | $263 | Dec 31 | Compare | |
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 9% | $238 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Rubin (3+ times) 92% | $220 | Dec 2 | View | |
Fusion Claw 84% | $209 | Nov 9 | View | |
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai) π Ai_tech | Claude 92% | $201 | in 9 days | View |
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? π Ai_tech | Disney+ 92% | $179 | Feb 15, 2027 | View |
Before 2028 66% | $144 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Will Elon purchase Ryanair? π Ai_tech | Yes 8% | $111 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
4.19 million 39% | $102 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
When will OpenAI achieve AGI? π Ai_tech | Before 2030 60% | $102 | Jan 1, 2030 | View |
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 91% | $101 | in 4 days | Compare |
Which companies will conduct layoffs this year? π Ai_tech | Alphabet 75% | $95 | Jan 8, 2027 | View |
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? π Ai_tech | Goldman Sachs 8% | $94 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Tesla total deliveries in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 1.6 million 99% | $71 | Mar 31, 2028 | Compare |
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 60% | $66 | in 11 days | Compare |
When will Anthropic release Claude 6? π Ai_tech | Before Dec 31, 2027 90% | $63 | Dec 31, 2027 | View |
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 2% | $51 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Will xAI release a video game before 2027? π Ai_tech | Video Game 9% | $43 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Before 2030 20% | $33 | Jan 1, 2030 | View | |
Meta family daily active people in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 3.66 billion 91% | $28 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX? π Ai_tech | Before 2030 60% | $26 | Jan 1, 2030 | View |
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above $84 billion 99% | $25 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 350 thousand 26% | $24 | Feb 10, 2027 | View |
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 9% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Robinhood funded customers in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 28 million 98% | $16 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 4320 97% | $15 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 54.5 billion 95% | $14 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Above 97 million 99% | $13 | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
Will SΓ©bastien Bubeck leave OpenAI? π Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2027 3% | $10 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Anthropic 70% | $7 | Dec 31 | View | |
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 1.8 million 99% | $7 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 1.54 billion 96% | $7 | May 25, 2027 | View |
In 2026 36% | $5 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Azure 89% | $5 | Dec 1 | View | |
Before 2028 67% | $3 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Before 2027 16% | $1 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Starbucks total global stores in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 41300 95% | $0 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Who will be the next CEO of X? π Ai_tech | Elon Musk 9% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Before Sep 23, 2027 61% | β | Sep 23, 2027 | View | |
When will Anthropic release Opus 6? π Ai_tech | Before Dec 1, 2026 18% | β | in 9 days | View |
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 330 million 97% | β | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
When will OpenAI release GPT-7? π Ai_tech | Before 2028 82% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare |
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 3% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Above -10% 96% | β | May 26, 2027 | View | |
Dodge Challenger Hellcat 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? π Ai_tech | Above $7.37 99% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 4 million 98% | β | May 12, 2027 | View |
Yes 54% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 10.6 billion 95% | β | May 6, 2027 | View |

Top AI model this monthgemini-4-argon-high$265 todayEnds in 9 days87%
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?Anthropic$263 todayEnds Dec 3176%
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Before 2027$238 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?Rubin (3+ times)$220 todayEnds Dec 292%
What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?Fusion Claw$209 todayEnds Nov 984%
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)Claude$201 todayEnds in 9 days92%
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game?Disney+$179 todayEnds Feb 15, 202792%
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?Before 2028$144 todayEnds Jan 1, 202866%
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?Yes$111 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?4.19 million$102 todayEnds Jan 1, 202739%
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?Before 2030$102 todayEnds Jan 1, 203060%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19thXiaomi$101 todayEnds in 4 days91%
Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?Alphabet$95 todayEnds Jan 8, 202775%
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?Goldman Sachs$94 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.6 million$71 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26thXiaomi$66 todayEnds in 11 days60%
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?Before Dec 31, 2027$63 todayEnds Dec 31, 202790%
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Before 2027$51 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Will xAI release a video game before 2027?Video Game$43 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?Before 2030$33 todayEnds Jan 1, 203020%
Meta family daily active people in 2026Above 3.66 billion$28 todayEnds Mar 31, 202891%
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?Before 2030$26 todayEnds Jan 1, 203060%
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026Above $84 billion$25 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026Above 350 thousand$24 todayEnds Feb 10, 202726%
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Before 2027$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Robinhood funded customers in 2026Above 28 million$16 todayEnds Mar 31, 202898%
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026Above 4320$15 todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026Above 54.5 billion$14 todayEnds Mar 31, 202895%
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026Above 97 million$13 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Will SΓ©bastien Bubeck leave OpenAI?Before Jan 1, 2027$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026Anthropic$7 todayEnds Dec 3170%
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026Above 1.8 million$7 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026Above 1.54 billion$7 todayEnds May 25, 202796%
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?In 2026$5 todayEnds Jan 1, 202736%
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote?Azure$5 todayEnds Dec 189%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Before 2028$3 todayEnds Jan 1, 202867%
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?Before 2027$1 todayEnds Jan 1, 202716%
Starbucks total global stores in 2026Above 41300$0 todayEnds Mar 31, 202895%
Who will be the next CEO of X?Elon MuskEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1A be completed before fall 2027?Before Sep 23, 2027Ends Sep 23, 202761%
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?Before Dec 1, 2026Ends in 9 days18%
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026Above 330 millionEnds Mar 31, 202897%
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?Before 2028Ends Jan 1, 202882%
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20273%
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026Above -10%Ends May 26, 202796%
Will Dodge release a new Challenger Hellcat before 2027?Dodge Challenger HellcatEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $7.37Ends Jan 1, 202799%
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026Above 4 millionEnds May 12, 202798%
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?YesEnds Jan 1, 202854%
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026Above 10.6 billionEnds May 6, 202795%