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PolymarketTotal Events:3,541Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,541
Observed times shown per event
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3,541 results Β· 2351β2400
When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?Before Jan 1, 2028Ends Jan 1, 202845%
California 14 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 80KEnds Nov 3, 202797%
NY-24 House election: Tony Macula vote percentAt least 2%Ends Nov 3, 20276%
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?R+0.9 to D+0.9Ends Mar 1, 202729%
SC-03 House election: Sheri Biggs vote percentAt least 60%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Idaho Senate election: Matt Loesby vote percentAt least 1%Ends Nov 3, 202787%
Quintana Roo Congress Election WinnerMorenaEnds Jun 7, 202786%
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?YesEnds in 12 days3%
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?Before Jan 1, 2027Ends Jan 1, 20271%
French election called by...?December 31, 2026Ends Jan 1, 20276%
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?Not revealed in 2026Ends Jan 1, 202773%
CO-02 House Election WinnerJoe Neguse (D)Ends in 12 days98%
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)Aisha WahabEnds in 12 days92%
TX-23 House election: Katy Padilla Stout vote percentAt least 40%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
PA-14 House election: Alan Bradstock vote percentAt least 28%Ends Nov 3, 202795%
NJ-12 House Election WinnerAdam Hamawy (D)Ends in 12 days98%
Ukraine election held by...?December 31, 2026Ends Jan 1, 20274%
CA-25 House Election WinnerRaul Ruiz (D)Ends in 12 days95%
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?U.S.βMexico interim agreementEnds Jan 1, 202741%
TX-18 House Election WinnerChristian Menefee (D)Ends in 12 days98%
Philippine Senate election winner?NPCEnds May 31, 202945%
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)Democratic partyEnds Nov 7, 202971%
TX-30 House election: Everett Jackson vote percentAt least 12%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?March 31, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202751%
AZ-02 House election: Jonathan Nez vote percentAt least 40%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
GA-01 House election: Amanda Hollowell vote percent (1st Round)At least 36%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
Will the FTC sue YouTube over account suspensions?Before Jan 2027Ends Jan 1, 202732%
NY-24 House election: Claudia Tenney vote percentAt least 52%Ends Nov 3, 202795%
California 18 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 103KEnds Nov 3, 202797%
North Carolina 11 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 230KEnds Nov 3, 202796%
2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election WinnerRobert LunaEnds in 12 days97%
When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?Before Jan 20, 2029Ends Jan 20, 202950%
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 20276%
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-08 House Election?YesEnds in 12 days100%
When will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?Before Nov 3, 2026Ends in 11 days1%
DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percentAt least 56%Ends Nov 3, 202793%
OK-03 House Election WinnerFrank Lucas (R)Ends in 12 days96%
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?December 31Ends in 9 days14%
New York County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percentAt least 78%Ends Nov 3, 202788%
IL-12 House election: Mike Bost vote percentAt least 62%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
CA-16 House Election WinnerSam Liccardo (D)Ends in 12 days97%
EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by...?December 31Ends in 9 days4%
Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percentAt least 46%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?December 31Ends Jan 1, 202746%
South Carolina Governor election: Jermaine Johnson vote percentAt least 36%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
LA-02 House Election WinnerDemocratic PartyEnds in 12 days97%
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?December 31Ends in 9 days13%
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?Before Jan 20, 2029Ends Jan 20, 202912%
TX-26 House election: Brandon Gill vote percentAt least 52%Ends Nov 3, 202793%