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PolymarketTotal Events:3,541Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,541
Observed times shown per event
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3,541 results Β· 2801β2850
2026 Bexar County Judge Election WinnerRon NirenbergEnds in 12 days97%
Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?Before Mar 1, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202774%
CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)Luz RivasEnds in 12 days94%
CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percentAt least 2%Ends Nov 3, 20273%
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percentAt least 26%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
ID-02 House Election WinnerMike Simpson (R)Ends in 12 days98%
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?YesEnds Feb 1, 202779%
Idaho Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyEnds Nov 7, 202991%
2026 El Paso County Judge Election WinnerRicardo SamaniegoEnds in 12 days98%
Alabama Senate margin of victoryMoore, 11+ ptsEnds Nov 3, 202791%
MI-02 House Election WinnerJohn Moolenaar (R)Ends in 12 days98%
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration$40 trillionEnds Mar 31, 2029100%
NY-24 House election: Alissa Ellman vote percentAt least 30%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
FL-08 House election: Mike Haridopolos vote percentAt least 48%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
Will DC come under federal control in 2026?A bill ending self rule in Washington DCEnds Jan 1, 20272%
AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percentAt least 40%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
Who will be Latviaβs Prime Minister after the election?Andris KulbergsEnds Oct 3, 202794%
CA-20 House Election WinnerVince Fong (R)Ends in 12 days98%
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20274%
German presidential election winner?Ilse AignerEnds Jan 30, 202854%
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20271%
GA-13 House Election WinnerJasmine Clark (D)Ends in 12 days97%
IN-02 House election: Jamee Decio vote percentAt least 32%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
Will any member of Congress be expelled before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 202718%
Hawaii Governor election: Josh Green vote percentAt least 60%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percentAt least 38%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?YesEnds Jan 20, 202931%
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?YesEnds in 9 days2%
MI-11 House Election WinnerJeremy Moss (D)Ends in 12 days96%
CA-08 House Election WinnerJohn Garamendi (D)Ends in 12 days96%
Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?Before Jan 1, 2028Ends Jan 1, 202729%
Will Venezuela become 51st state?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Cook County, Illinois: JB Pritzker vote percentAt least 70%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
Alaska Senate election: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)At least 38%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 202815%
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?YesEnds in 11 days4%
ID-02 House election: Mike Simpson vote percentAt least 52%Ends Nov 3, 202795%
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?YesEnds Dec 23, 202786%
VT-AL House election: Becca Balint vote percentAt least 62%Ends Nov 3, 202791%
CO-04 House election: Tim Veldhuizen vote percentAt least 4%Ends Nov 3, 20274%
IN-03 House election: Kelly Thompson vote percentAt least 30%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
CA-20 House election: Sandra Van Scotter vote percentAt least 30%Ends Nov 3, 202793%
Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?Democratic PartyEnds in 12 days94%
MD-05 House election: Chris Chaffee vote percentAt least 20%Ends Nov 3, 202794%
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?any 3rd Amendment caseEnds Jan 20, 202910%
TX-02 House Election WinnerSteve Toth (R)Ends in 12 days93%
MO-04 House Election WinnerMark Alford (R)Ends in 12 days97%
TN-01 House election: Diana Harshbarger vote percentAt least 68%Ends Nov 3, 202789%
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?Susan CollinsEnds Dec 3115%