Market comparison

#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 23)

2 venues · 45 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

72 outcomes · $122K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for #1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 23)
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
APT. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% APT. Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% APT. Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% APT. Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Babydoll Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Babydoll Open Kalshi ↗ 84.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0% Babydoll Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Babydoll Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
back to friends Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% back to friends Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% back to friends Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% back to friends Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky Open Polymarket ↗	—
Beauty and a Beat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Beauty and a Beat Open Kalshi ↗ 67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 71.0% Beauty and a Beat Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Billie Jean Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Billie Jean Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Billie Jean Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
BIRDS OF A FEATHER Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% BIRDS OF A FEATHER Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% BIRDS OF A FEATHER Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% BIRDS OF A FEATHER Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley Open Polymarket ↗	—
Die With A Smile Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Die With A Smile Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Die With A Smile Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Die With A Smile Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Don’t Say You Love Me Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Don’t Say You Love Me Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Don’t Say You Love Me Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Don’t Say You Love Me Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
drop dead Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% drop dead Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% drop dead Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
DtMF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% DtMF Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% DtMF Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% DtMF Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Earrings Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 40.0% Earrings Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Earrings Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Earrings - Malcolm Todd Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Earrings - Malcolm Todd Open Polymarket ↗	—
End of Beginning Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% End of Beginning Open Kalshi ↗ 11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% End of Beginning Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% End of Beginning Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Golden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Golden Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Golden Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Golden Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
hate that i made you love me Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% hate that i made you love me Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% hate that i made you love me Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Housewife - Tate McRae Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Housewife - Tate McRae Open Polymarket ↗	—
iloveitiloveitiloveit Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% iloveitiloveitiloveit Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey Open Polymarket ↗	—
luther (with sza) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% luther (with sza) Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% luther (with sza) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Man I Need Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 50.0% Man I Need Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Man I Need Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Man I Need Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Manchild Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Manchild Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Manchild Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Manchild Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ordinary Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ordinary Open Kalshi ↗ 3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Ordinary Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ordinary Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Patient Zero - Taylor Swift Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Patient Zero - Taylor Swift Open Polymarket ↗	—
Raindance (feat. Tems) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Raindance (feat. Tems) Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Raindance (feat. Tems) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Self Aware Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Self Aware Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Self Aware Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
So Easy (To Fall in Love) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% So Easy (To Fall in Love) Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% So Easy (To Fall In Love) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Soda Pop Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Soda Pop Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Soda Pop Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Soda Pop Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Song 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Song 2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Song 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Song 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Song 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Song 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Song 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Song 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Song 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Song 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Song 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Song 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Stateside + Zara Larsson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Stateside + Zara Larsson Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Stateside + Zara Larsson Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Stateside + Zara Larsson Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
stupid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% stupid Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
stupid song Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% stupid song Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SWIM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% SWIM Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% SWIM Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
the cure Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% the cure Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% the cure Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Fate of Ophelia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% The Fate of Ophelia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Timeless (feat Playboi Carti) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Your Idol Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Your Idol Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Your Idol Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Your Idol Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

APT.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

APT.

#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 23)

Kalshi

Polymarket

APT.

Kalshi

Polymarket

Babydoll

Kalshi

Polymarket

back to friends

Kalshi

Polymarket

BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky

Kalshi

Polymarket

Beauty and a Beat

Kalshi

Polymarket

Billie Jean

Kalshi

Polymarket

BIRDS OF A FEATHER

Kalshi

Polymarket

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

Kalshi

Polymarket

Die With A Smile

Kalshi

Polymarket

Don’t Say You Love Me

Kalshi

Polymarket

drop dead

Kalshi

Polymarket

DtMF

Kalshi

Polymarket

Earrings

Kalshi

Polymarket

Earrings - Malcolm Todd

Kalshi

Polymarket

End of Beginning

Kalshi

Polymarket

expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Golden

Kalshi

Polymarket

hate that i made you love me

Kalshi

Polymarket

Housewife - Tate McRae

Kalshi

Polymarket

iloveitiloveitiloveit

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey

Kalshi

Polymarket

luther (with sza)

Kalshi

Polymarket

Man I Need

Kalshi

Polymarket

Manchild

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ordinary

Kalshi